Machine learning is finding its way into every aspect of computing from social media to complex financial applications. Machine learning can be used to enhance the customer experience, better handle and predict results from complex data, and even transform the way different businesses can operate. Being able to correlate data to detect patterns and anomalies can help an organization predict outcomes and improve operations. There are numerous examples in almost every industry.
So from this checklist can guide you through your Machine
Learning projects. There are eight main steps:
1. Frame
the problem and look at the big picture.
2. Get the
data.
3. Explore
the data to gain insights.
4. Prepare
the data to better expose the underlying data patterns to Machine Learning algorithms.
5. Explore
many different models and short-list the best ones.
6.
Fine-tune your models and combine them into a great solution.
7. Present
your solution.
8. Launch,
monitor, and maintain your system.
Obviously,
you should feel free to adapt this checklist to your needs.
Frame the Problem and Look at the Big Picture
1. Define
the objective in business terms.
2. How
will your solution be used?
3. What
are the current solutions/workarounds (if any)?
4. How
should you frame this problem (supervised/unsupervised, online/offline, etc.)?
5. How
should performance be measured?
6. Is the performance measure
aligned with the business objective?
7. What would be the minimum
performance needed to reach the business objective?
8. What
are comparable problems? Can you reuse experience or tools?
9. Is
human expertise available?
10. How
would you solve the problem manually?
11. List
the assumptions you (or others) have made so far.
12. Verify assumptions if possible
Get
the Data
Note: automate as much as possible so you can easily get
fresh data.
1. List
the data you need and how much you need.
2. Find
and document where you can get that data.
3. Check
how much space it will take.
4. Check
legal obligations, and get authorization if necessary.
5. Get
access authorizations.
6. Create
a workspace (with enough storage space).
7. Get the
data.
8. Convert
the data to a format you can easily manipulate (without changing the data
itself).
9. Ensure
sensitive information is deleted or protected (e.g., anonymized).
10. Check the size and type of data (time series, sample, geographical, etc.).
11. Sample a test set, put it aside, and never look at it (no data snooping!).
Explore
the Data
Note:
try to get insights from a field expert for these steps.
1. Create
a copy of the data for exploration (sampling it down to a manageable size if
necessary).
2. Create
a Jupyter notebook to keep a record of your data exploration.
3. Study
each attribute and its characteristics:
·
Name
·
Type
(categorical, int/float, bounded/unbounded, text, structured, etc.)
·
%
of missing values
·
Noisiness
and type of noise (stochastic, outliers, rounding errors, etc.)
·
Possibly
useful for the task?
·
Type
of distribution (Gaussian, uniform, logarithmic, etc.)
4. For
supervised learning tasks, identify the target attribute(s).
5.
Visualize the data.
6. Study
the correlations between attributes.
7. Study
how you would solve the problem manually.
8.
Identify the promising transformations you may want to apply.
9. Identify extra data that would be useful.
10. Document what you have learned.
Prepare
the Data
Notes:
·
Work
on copies of the data (keep the original dataset intact).
·
Write
functions for all data transformations you apply, for five reasons:
—So you can easily prepare the data
the next time you get a fresh dataset
—So you can apply these
transformations in future projects
—To clean and prepare the test set
—To clean and prepare new data
instances once your solution is live
—To make it easy to treat your
preparation choices as hyperparameters
1.
Data cleaning:
Ø
Fix
or remove outliers (optional).
Ø
Fill
in missing values (e.g., with zero, mean, median…) or drop their rows (or columns).
2.
Feature selection (optional):
Ø
Drop
the attributes that provide no useful information for the task.
3.
Feature engineering, where appropriate:
Ø Discretize continuous features.
Ø
Decompose
features (e.g., categorical, date/time, etc.).
Ø
Add
promising transformations of features (e.g., log(x), sqrt(x), x^2, etc.).
Ø
Aggregate
features into promising new features.
4. Feature scaling: standardize or
normalize features.
Short-List
Promising Models
Notes:
· If
the data is huge, you may want to sample smaller training sets so you can train
many different models in a reasonable time (be aware that this penalizes
complex models such as large neural nets or Random Forests).
· Once
again, try to automate these steps as much as possible.
1.
Train many quick and dirty models from different categories (e.g., linear,
naïve Bayes, SVM, Random Forests, neural net, etc.) using standard parameters.
2.
Measure and compare their performance.
Ø
For
each model, use N-fold cross-validation and compute the mean and standard deviation
of the performance measure on the N folds.
3.
Analyze the most significant variables for each algorithm.
4.
Analyze the types of errors the models make.
Ø
What
data would a human have used to avoid these errors?
5.
Have a quick round of feature selection and engineering.
6.
Have one or two more quick iterations of the five previous steps.
7. Short-list the top three to five
most promising models, preferring models that make different types of errors.
Fine-Tune
the System
Notes:
· You
will want to use as much data as possible for this step, especially as you move
toward the end of fine-tuning.
· As always automate what you can.
1.
Fine-tune the hyperparameters using cross-validation.
Ø
Treat
your data transformation choices as hyperparameters, especially when you are
not sure about them (e.g., should I replace missing values with zero or with
the median value? Or just drop the rows?).
Ø
Unless
there are very few hyperparameter values to explore, prefer random search over
grid search. If training is very long, you may prefer a Bayesian optimization.
2.
Try Ensemble methods. Combining your best models will often perform better than
running them individually.
3.
Once you are confident about your final model, measure its performance on the test
set to estimate the generalization error.
(Don’t
tweak your model after measuring the generalization error: you would just start
overfitting the test set.)
Present
Your Solution
1.
Document what you have done.
2.
Create a nice presentation.
Ø
Make
sure you highlight the big picture first.
3.
Explain why your solution achieves the business objective.
4.
Don’t forget to present interesting points you noticed along the way.
Ø
Describe
what worked and what did not.
Ø
List
your assumptions and your system;s limitations.
5.
Ensure your key findings are communicated through beautiful visualizations or easy-to-remember
statements (e.g., “the median income is the number-one
predictor of housing prices”).
Launch!
1.
Get your solution ready for production (plug into production data inputs, write
unit tests, etc.).
2.
Write monitoring code to check your system’s live performance at regular
intervals and trigger alerts when it drops.
Ø
Beware
of slow degradation too: models tend to “rot” as data evolves.
Ø
Measuring
performance may require a human pipeline (e.g., via a crowdsourcing service).
Ø
Also
monitor your inputs’ quality (e.g., a malfunctioning
sensor sending random values, or another team’s output becoming stale). This is
particularly important for online learning systems.
3.
Retrain your models on a regular basis on fresh data (automate as much as
possible).
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